Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Compher wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.8% vs Hertl 50.7% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 71.3%
Defensive zone
Compher 70.6%
Neutral zone
Compher 70.2%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Compher
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Compher
Hertl
Last 6: Compher 1-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Compher
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Compher
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Compher
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (431)
51.5% (891)
-7.2%
Power Play
50.7% (73)
54.8% (135)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
41.5% (130)
+3.1%
On even strength, Hertl has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Compher is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Compher shoots right. Hertl is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Compher
Hertl
Home
47.2% (282)
52.6% (544)
Away
43.3% (323)
49.2% (612)
By Period
Compher
Hertl
P1
47.6%
49.4%
P2
40.3%
51.7%
P3
47.4%
51.4%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 09:56 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:49 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |