Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Compher wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 46.6% vs Hertl 54.7% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 89.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 54.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 66.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Compher
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Compher
Hertl
Last 10: Compher 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
5
Compher
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
9
1
Compher
Hertl
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Compher
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (288)
55.7% (648)
-6.7%
Power Play
53.3% (30)
60.4% (149)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (153)
42.2% (83)
-3.6%
On power play, Hertl has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Compher is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (356).
Compher shoots right. Hertl is 61.8% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Compher
Hertl
Home
41.2% (211)
58.3% (391)
Away
49.6% (260)
52.8% (489)
By Period
Compher
Hertl
P1
47.3%
58.9%
P2
44.4%
51.5%
P3
46.2%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
76.9%
Final 5 min
54.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 05:27 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 09:57 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |