Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Scheifele wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Hertl 54.3% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 76.6%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 79.9%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 75.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Scheifele
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Scheifele
Hertl
Last 10: Scheifele 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Scheifele
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
8
Scheifele
Hertl
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,011)
54.7% (570)
-8.9%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
55.2% (143)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
54.5% (77)
-6.7%
On even strength, Hertl has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Scheifele is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Scheifele shoots right. Hertl is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Hertl
Home
50.4% (691)
56.2% (379)
Away
43.0% (598)
53.5% (411)
By Period
Scheifele
Hertl
P1
46.7%
53.4%
P2
48.1%
52.7%
P3
46.3%
57.6%
OT
41.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 17:58 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 09:47 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 03:18 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 03:01 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 00:12 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |