Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Blueger wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blueger 45.7% vs Hertl 54.3% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 53.4%
Defensive zone
Blueger 86.4%
Neutral zone
Blueger 66.0%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Blueger
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Blueger
Hertl
Last 5: Blueger 1-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Blueger
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Blueger
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Blueger
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blueger
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (653)
54.7% (570)
-6.6%
Power Play
29.6% (27)
55.2% (143)
-25.6%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (210)
54.5% (77)
-16.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Blueger is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Blueger shoots left. Hertl is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Blueger
Hertl
Home
45.5% (473)
56.2% (379)
Away
44.8% (417)
53.5% (411)
By Period
Blueger
Hertl
P1
48.0%
53.4%
P2
44.9%
52.7%
P3
43.1%
57.6%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2020 | OT | 00:46 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 19:09 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |