Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 54.7% vs Jost 47.5% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 84.8%
Defensive zone
Hertl 74.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 75.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Hertl
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Hertl
Jost
Last 10: Hertl 5-5 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
0
Hertl
Jost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hertl
Jost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
5
3
Hertl
Jost
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (648)
47.7% (287)
+8.0%
Power Play
60.4% (149)
62.5% (8)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (83)
39.2% (51)
+3.0%
On even strength, Hertl has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Hertl is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (626).
Hertl shoots left. Jost is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Hertl
Jost
Home
58.3% (391)
49.5% (190)
Away
52.8% (489)
43.6% (156)
By Period
Hertl
Jost
P1
58.9%
43.2%
P2
51.5%
52.5%
P3
54.3%
44.5%
Final 5 min
54.3%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.2%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 03:32 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 09:38 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 18:41 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 06:29 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 08:49 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |