Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 52.3% vs Jost 42.2% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 71.4%
Defensive zone
Jost 56.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 50.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Hertl
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hertl
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Hertl
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
0
Hertl
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,084)
40.8% (314)
+10.8%
Power Play
61.0% (246)
37.5% (8)
+23.5%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (136)
39.4% (104)
+4.7%
On power play, Hertl has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Hertl shoots left. Jost is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Hertl
Jost
Home
55.2% (696)
42.8% (264)
Away
50.0% (770)
36.4% (162)
By Period
Hertl
Jost
P1
55.4%
37.4%
P2
54.8%
40.5%
P3
48.9%
43.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |