Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 54.5% vs Jost 40.8% (+16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 77.8%
Defensive zone
Jost 69.8%
Neutral zone
Jost 53.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Hertl
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hertl
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
0
Hertl
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
1
2
Hertl
Jost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,117)
41.8% (388)
+12.3%
Power Play
59.8% (296)
0.0% (3)
+59.8%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
21.7% (60)
+12.7%
On power play, Hertl has a +59.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Hertl shoots left. Jost is 38.5% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Hertl
Jost
Home
54.3% (709)
42.6% (230)
Away
55.3% (736)
34.8% (221)
By Period
Hertl
Jost
P1
51.6%
43.2%
P2
53.6%
38.2%
P3
58.6%
34.6%
OT
45.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 03:01 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 13:40 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |