Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 55.4% vs Jost 47.3% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 52.0%
Defensive zone
Jost 60.7%
Neutral zone
Jost 58.7%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Hertl
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hertl
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Hertl
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (717)
45.7% (116)
+8.4%
Power Play
61.9% (210)
37.5% (8)
+24.4%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (31)
50.0% (2)
+8.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Hertl shoots left. Jost is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Hertl
Jost
Home
58.1% (492)
39.7% (68)
Away
53.6% (466)
51.7% (58)
By Period
Hertl
Jost
P1
57.1%
40.5%
P2
54.0%
47.9%
P3
56.6%
47.2%
Final 5 min
53.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 17:48 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |