Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 56.8% vs Jost 45.0% (+14.9%)
Offensive zone
Jost 53.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 50.6%
Neutral zone
Hertl 51.0%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Hertl
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (718)
43.3% (194)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (77)
25.0% (8)
+19.2%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Hertl shoots left. Jost is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Hertl
Jost
Home
59.2% (463)
39.7% (78)
Away
56.0% (520)
44.4% (124)
By Period
Hertl
Jost
P1
56.3%
40.5%
P2
55.4%
43.2%
P3
60.5%
44.9%
Final 5 min
56.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
42.6%