Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 55.4% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-2.2%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 57.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 66.2%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 53.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Hertl
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (717)
58.6% (597)
-4.5%
Power Play
61.9% (210)
57.9% (57)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (31)
51.9% (52)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Hertl shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Hertl
Karlsson
Home
58.1% (492)
59.6% (344)
Away
53.6% (466)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Hertl
Karlsson
P1
57.1%
53.1%
P2
54.0%
62.1%
P3
56.6%
60.1%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%