Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 52.3% vs Girgensons 49.9% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 73.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 50.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 62.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Hertl
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hertl
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
0
Hertl
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,084)
49.0% (210)
+2.6%
Power Play
61.0% (246)
63.6% (22)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (136)
47.3% (55)
-3.2%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Hertl shoots left. Girgensons is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Hertl
Girgensons
Home
55.2% (696)
52.1% (142)
Away
50.0% (770)
47.6% (145)
By Period
Hertl
Girgensons
P1
55.4%
54.3%
P2
54.8%
49.1%
P3
48.9%
44.8%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |