Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 56.8% vs Girgensons 48.5% (+9.8%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 50.1%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 54.3%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 54.0%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Hertl
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (718)
46.3% (147)
+10.7%
Power Play
64.9% (188)
66.7% (3)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (77)
51.1% (47)
-6.9%
On even strength, Hertl has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Hertl shoots left. Girgensons is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Hertl
Girgensons
Home
59.2% (463)
34.2% (79)
Away
56.0% (520)
56.8% (118)
By Period
Hertl
Girgensons
P1
56.3%
56.5%
P2
55.4%
38.1%
P3
60.5%
47.7%
Final 5 min
56.7%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.7%