Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 55.4% vs Girgensons 48.5% (+8.6%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 68.9%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 67.1%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 54.4%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Hertl
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (717)
47.2% (127)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (31)
50.0% (2)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Hertl shoots left. Girgensons is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Hertl
Girgensons
Home
58.1% (492)
50.0% (80)
Away
53.6% (466)
42.9% (49)
By Period
Hertl
Girgensons
P1
57.1%
40.5%
P2
54.0%
54.3%
P3
56.6%
45.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.3%