Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 48.7% vs Nosek 51.3% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 53.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 56.6%
Neutral zone
Nosek 54.3%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
MacKinnon
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
MacKinnon
Nosek
Last 5: MacKinnon 3-2 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
MacKinnon
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (439)
52.7% (355)
-4.2%
Power Play
54.8% (42)
28.6% (7)
+26.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
44.0% (25)
-19.0%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (424).
MacKinnon shoots right. Nosek is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Nosek
Home
52.5% (221)
52.8% (214)
Away
45.2% (272)
50.3% (173)
By Period
MacKinnon
Nosek
P1
50.5%
54.2%
P2
45.5%
53.1%
P3
48.5%
46.4%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.5%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 19:52 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |