Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Newhook wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.1% vs Novak 43.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 67.4%
Defensive zone
Newhook 52.6%
Neutral zone
Novak 66.5%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Newhook
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Newhook
Novak
Last 7: Newhook 6-1 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
4
0
Newhook
Novak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Newhook
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (1,922)
42.1% (1,539)
-0.6%
Power Play
43.8% (208)
51.9% (133)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
50.0% (2)
-2.9%
On power play, Novak has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Newhook is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,311).
Newhook shoots left. Novak is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,078).
Home / Away
Newhook
Novak
Home
41.6% (1,061)
45.3% (814)
Away
42.0% (1,086)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Newhook
Novak
P1
39.9%
43.9%
P2
41.9%
42.8%
P3
43.1%
41.7%
OT
80.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:44 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 13:23 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |