Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 44.9% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-14.9%)
Offensive zone
Novak 71.8%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 81.3%
Neutral zone
Novak 50.7%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Novak
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (206)
58.5% (135)
-16.8%
Power Play
52.6% (19)
80.0% (5)
-27.4%
On power play, Karlsson has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Novak is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Novak shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Novak
Karlsson
Home
44.9% (118)
63.7% (91)
Away
40.2% (107)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Novak
Karlsson
P1
41.5%
54.4%
P2
44.0%
66.7%
P3
42.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
42.9%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%