Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 45.0% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-15.4%)
Offensive zone
Novak 51.1%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 65.3%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 54.5%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Novak
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (198)
58.6% (597)
-15.7%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
57.9% (57)
-17.0%
On power play, Karlsson has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Novak shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Novak
Karlsson
Home
40.9% (110)
59.6% (344)
Away
44.5% (110)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Novak
Karlsson
P1
39.1%
53.1%
P2
43.9%
62.1%
P3
44.9%
60.1%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
25.5%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%