Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 43.4% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-15.8%)
Offensive zone
Novak 72.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 79.8%
Neutral zone
Novak 50.1%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Novak
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (379)
58.5% (135)
-17.1%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
80.0% (5)
-33.1%
On power play, Karlsson has a +33.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Novak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Novak shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Novak
Karlsson
Home
42.6% (195)
63.7% (91)
Away
41.2% (216)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Novak
Karlsson
P1
42.4%
54.4%
P2
39.2%
66.7%
P3
44.7%
51.9%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%