Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 46.5% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-7.7%)
Offensive zone
Novak 60.8%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 64.5%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 54.4%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Novak
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (118)
51.4% (735)
-8.2%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
63.5% (115)
-15.7%
On power play, Karlsson has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Novak shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Novak
Karlsson
Home
50.7% (71)
52.3% (524)
Away
37.1% (70)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Novak
Karlsson
P1
44.7%
50.7%
P2
50.0%
51.4%
P3
38.9%
53.2%
Final 5 min
35.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%