Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Hartman wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.3% vs Zegras 39.2% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 65.6%
Defensive zone
Hartman 92.7%
Neutral zone
Hartman 82.1%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Hartman
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
8
(21 meetings)
13
8
Hartman
Zegras
Last 10: Hartman 8-2 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
2
4
Hartman
Zegras
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
7
0
Hartman
Zegras
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Hartman
Zegras
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (4,235)
38.6% (1,669)
+6.6%
Power Play
47.4% (443)
38.5% (148)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (262)
28.6% (7)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Hartman shoots right. Zegras is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Hartman
Zegras
Home
46.7% (2,589)
39.9% (882)
Away
43.6% (2,351)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Hartman
Zegras
P1
46.0%
40.2%
P2
42.9%
38.0%
P3
46.8%
37.7%
OT
53.8%
31.6%
Final 5 min
46.5%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 14:55 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 04:08 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 17:43 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 04:33 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |