Scouting Report
Tyson Jost holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Zegras wins 34.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 40.4% vs Jost 46.3% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 74.5%
Defensive zone
Jost 71.4%
Neutral zone
Zegras 51.8%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Zegras
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
33.6% (143)
38.3% (47)
-4.7%
On even strength, Jost has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Zegras is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (118).
Zegras shoots left. Jost is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Zegras
Jost
Home
31.6% (98)
36.4% (22)
Away
39.1% (87)
40.0% (25)
By Period
Zegras
Jost
P1
38.9%
43.8%
P2
38.0%
36.8%
P3
27.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
29.3%
30.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.1%
Jost
40.0%▼
44.5%
38.3%