Scouting Report
Tyson Jost holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Zegras wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 41.3% vs Jost 47.3% (-8.6%)
Offensive zone
Jost 52.5%
Defensive zone
Zegras 56.4%
Neutral zone
Jost 54.5%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Zegras
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (156)
45.7% (116)
-9.2%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
37.5% (8)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Jost has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Zegras shoots left. Jost is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Zegras
Jost
Home
38.9% (113)
39.7% (68)
Away
32.9% (73)
51.7% (58)
By Period
Zegras
Jost
P1
40.0%
40.5%
P2
38.1%
47.9%
P3
31.6%
47.2%
Final 5 min
45.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
45.2%