Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Zegras wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 42.6% vs Jost 40.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 68.0%
Defensive zone
Jost 68.8%
Neutral zone
Jost 50.3%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Zegras
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Zegras
Jost
Last 8: Zegras 4-4 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
1
2
Zegras
Jost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Zegras
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
3
1
Zegras
Jost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (559)
41.8% (388)
-0.7%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
0.0% (3)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
21.7% (60)
+28.3%
On power play, Zegras has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Zegras shoots left. Jost is 38.5% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Zegras
Jost
Home
45.7% (247)
42.6% (230)
Away
38.0% (326)
34.8% (221)
By Period
Zegras
Jost
P1
45.5%
43.2%
P2
36.8%
38.2%
P3
41.1%
34.6%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
37.7%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 17:39 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |