Scouting Report
Tyson Jost holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Zegras wins 30.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 35.4% vs Jost 45.0% (-9.3%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 72.9%
Defensive zone
Jost 77.4%
Neutral zone
Jost 56.0%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Zegras
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
29.6% (230)
39.3% (84)
-9.7%
Power Play
32.1% (56)
0.0% (1)
+32.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (6)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Zegras shoots left. Jost is 34.5% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Zegras
Jost
Home
30.6% (147)
38.5% (52)
Away
30.0% (140)
41.0% (39)
By Period
Zegras
Jost
P1
33.0%
40.6%
P2
31.7%
38.9%
P3
25.6%
39.1%
Final 5 min
29.0%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.6%