Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (39.9% vs 40.4%). Zegras wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 41.5% vs Jost 42.2% (-0.5%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 83.3%
Defensive zone
Jost 79.8%
Neutral zone
Jost 59.3%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Zegras
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
39.4% (510)
40.8% (314)
-1.4%
Power Play
47.1% (34)
37.5% (8)
+9.6%
On power play, Zegras has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Zegras shoots left. Jost is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Zegras
Jost
Home
42.3% (272)
42.8% (264)
Away
37.5% (272)
36.4% (162)
By Period
Zegras
Jost
P1
37.6%
37.4%
P2
41.5%
40.5%
P3
40.8%
43.3%
Final 5 min
45.1%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.9%
Jost
40.0%▼
44.5%
40.4%