Trevor Zegras vs William Karlsson
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zegras wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 41.5% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 76.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 64.2%
Neutral zone
Zegras 56.1%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Zegras
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Zegras
Karlsson
Last 7: Zegras 3-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zegras
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
Zegras
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
2
0
Zegras
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
39.4% (510)
51.4% (735)
-12.0%
Power Play
47.1% (34)
63.5% (115)
-16.4%
On power play, Karlsson has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Zegras shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Zegras
Karlsson
Home
42.3% (272)
52.3% (524)
Away
37.5% (272)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Zegras
Karlsson
P1
37.6%
50.7%
P2
41.5%
51.4%
P3
40.8%
53.2%
OT
33.3%
41.2%
Final 5 min
45.1%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
39.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 05:04 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |