Trevor Zegras vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Zegras wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 42.6% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 67.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 57.4%
Neutral zone
Zegras 56.9%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Zegras
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Zegras
Karlsson
Last 7: Zegras 3-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Zegras
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Zegras
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
3
2
Zegras
Karlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (559)
55.3% (897)
-14.2%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
61.1% (113)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.8% (132)
-0.8%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Zegras shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Zegras
Karlsson
Home
45.7% (247)
58.6% (560)
Away
38.0% (326)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Zegras
Karlsson
P1
45.5%
55.8%
P2
36.8%
55.6%
P3
41.1%
55.7%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
37.7%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2023 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 08:56 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 12:26 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | William Karlsson |