Trevor Zegras vs William Karlsson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Zegras wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 43.3% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-17.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 82.0%
Defensive zone
Zegras 72.9%
Neutral zone
Zegras 77.1%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Zegras
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Zegras
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Zegras
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Zegras
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (128)
56.3% (739)
-16.5%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
58.6% (181)
-36.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.2% (53)
-47.2%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Zegras shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Zegras
Karlsson
Home
29.7% (74)
56.5% (462)
Away
48.4% (64)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Zegras
Karlsson
P1
40.7%
57.1%
P2
35.1%
55.2%
P3
41.0%
56.7%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | William Karlsson |