Trevor Zegras vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +21.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zegras wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 41.3% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-21.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 66.2%
Defensive zone
Zegras 65.0%
Neutral zone
Zegras 69.5%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Zegras
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Zegras
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Zegras
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Zegras
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (156)
58.6% (597)
-22.1%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
57.9% (57)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
51.9% (52)
-51.9%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Zegras shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Zegras
Karlsson
Home
38.9% (113)
59.6% (344)
Away
32.9% (73)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Zegras
Karlsson
P1
40.0%
53.1%
P2
38.1%
62.1%
P3
31.6%
60.1%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.8%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:28 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |