Trevor Zegras vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +27.3% FO% edge overall. Zegras wins 30.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 35.4% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-27.3%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 71.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 83.7%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 59.4%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Zegras
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
29.6% (230)
58.5% (135)
-28.9%
Power Play
32.1% (56)
80.0% (5)
-47.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.4% (18)
+55.6%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Zegras shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Zegras
Karlsson
Home
30.6% (147)
63.7% (91)
Away
30.0% (140)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Zegras
Karlsson
P1
33.0%
54.4%
P2
31.7%
66.7%
P3
25.6%
51.9%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
29.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%