Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 60.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.3% vs Johnson 48.7% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 71.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 93.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 87.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Staal
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Staal
Johnson
Last 7: Staal 6-1 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,075)
48.5% (776)
+8.1%
Power Play
66.7% (141)
56.7% (157)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (179)
26.4% (53)
+31.7%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Staal is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Staal shoots left. Johnson is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Staal
Johnson
Home
57.7% (735)
48.8% (482)
Away
57.9% (660)
48.4% (504)
By Period
Staal
Johnson
P1
61.8%
50.3%
P2
55.7%
48.5%
P3
56.1%
47.0%
OT
56.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
60.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 3 | 04:07 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |