Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Seguin 51.8% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 71.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 64.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 62.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Coyle
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Coyle
Seguin
Last 9: Coyle 6-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Coyle
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
54.8% (135)
-5.3%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
58.3% (24)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
26.7% (15)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Coyle is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Seguin is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Coyle
Seguin
Home
47.4% (409)
47.4% (95)
Away
50.0% (360)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Coyle
Seguin
P1
50.8%
50.8%
P2
46.0%
57.1%
P3
48.4%
51.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |