Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Scheifele wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 43.4% vs Seguin 53.2% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 74.7%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 73.4%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 79.8%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Scheifele
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Scheifele
Seguin
Last 9: Scheifele 1-8 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Scheifele
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
6
Scheifele
Seguin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (938)
53.9% (482)
-11.6%
Power Play
50.0% (168)
35.3% (17)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
26.8% (41)
75.0% (12)
-48.2%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Scheifele is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Scheifele shoots right. Seguin is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Seguin
Home
43.1% (569)
58.9% (231)
Away
42.7% (579)
49.6% (280)
By Period
Scheifele
Seguin
P1
45.3%
51.5%
P2
38.6%
48.5%
P3
44.1%
61.7%
OT
56.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
40.6%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
42.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2015 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 12:41 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 02:35 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 05:23 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |