Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.9% vs 40.1%). Kelly wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.8% vs Jost 40.5% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
Jost 60.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 56.9%
Neutral zone
Jost 51.7%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Kelly
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (756)
41.0% (2,014)
+0.9%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
34.2% (73)
-34.2%
Penalty Kill
37.2% (172)
35.3% (255)
+1.9%
On power play, Jost has a +34.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Kelly is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (626).
Kelly shoots left. Jost is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,466).
Home / Away
Kelly
Jost
Home
42.5% (475)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
39.3% (456)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Kelly
Jost
P1
42.4%
38.5%
P2
44.7%
41.2%
P3
35.7%
40.9%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
35.8%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
40.9%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%