Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.2%). Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.8% vs Trocheck 50.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 61.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 75.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 57.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Lowry
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Lowry
Trocheck
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
5
Lowry
Trocheck
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Trocheck
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Lowry
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (936)
50.3% (1,280)
+1.1%
Power Play
54.1% (85)
52.7% (201)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (274)
46.4% (183)
+1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Lowry is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (467).
Lowry shoots left. Trocheck is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,044).
Home / Away
Lowry
Trocheck
Home
52.9% (680)
52.4% (828)
Away
48.5% (615)
48.0% (836)
By Period
Lowry
Trocheck
P1
51.5%
52.6%
P2
51.5%
50.9%
P3
49.3%
48.1%
OT
60.0%
34.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.8%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2017 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 3 | 13:38 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |