Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Hayes wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.3% vs Trocheck 51.6% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 69.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 68.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 77.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Hayes
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
13
(18 meetings)
5
13
Hayes
Trocheck
Last 10: Hayes 2-8 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
7
Hayes
Trocheck
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Hayes
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
4
Hayes
Trocheck
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (764)
50.8% (783)
-0.3%
Power Play
53.3% (90)
60.0% (95)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (127)
51.8% (83)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Hayes is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Hayes shoots left. Trocheck is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Hayes
Trocheck
Home
49.0% (531)
54.9% (506)
Away
49.6% (450)
48.4% (455)
By Period
Hayes
Trocheck
P1
52.3%
52.3%
P2
45.8%
50.8%
P3
50.2%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.7%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 15:59 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 10:41 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 01:18 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |