Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Hayes wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.2% vs Trocheck 51.9% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 13-1 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 66.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 69.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 67.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Hayes
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
13
(14 meetings)
1
13
Hayes
Trocheck
Last 10: Hayes 0-10 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Hayes
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
6
Hayes
Trocheck
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
4
Hayes
Trocheck
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (672)
51.6% (697)
-0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (78)
55.1% (98)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (76)
54.1% (37)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Hayes is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Trocheck is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Hayes
Trocheck
Home
52.0% (404)
56.8% (400)
Away
48.6% (422)
47.9% (432)
By Period
Hayes
Trocheck
P1
50.7%
49.1%
P2
50.2%
53.5%
P3
49.8%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 14:25 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 01:46 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 03:04 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 18:32 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |