Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 58.4% vs Karlsson 45.8% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 50.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 59.7%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 62.0%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Staal
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Staal
Karlsson
Last 6: Staal 2-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Staal
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Staal
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (888)
47.2% (786)
+11.9%
Power Play
66.9% (121)
54.5% (11)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (156)
35.6% (163)
+17.0%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Staal is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Staal shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Staal
Karlsson
Home
61.2% (600)
46.4% (478)
Away
56.9% (566)
44.2% (482)
By Period
Staal
Karlsson
P1
57.5%
44.8%
P2
60.1%
45.6%
P3
59.1%
45.5%
Final 5 min
59.5%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
59.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 10:25 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 15:46 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | William Karlsson |