Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.3% vs Karlsson 47.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 53.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 52.0%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 51.6%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Hayes
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Hayes
Karlsson
Last 10: Hayes 7-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
2
Hayes
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
1
Hayes
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (764)
47.4% (1,012)
+3.1%
Power Play
53.3% (90)
45.6% (136)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (127)
53.5% (86)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Hayes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Hayes shoots left. Karlsson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (870).
Home / Away
Hayes
Karlsson
Home
49.0% (531)
47.7% (658)
Away
49.6% (450)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Hayes
Karlsson
P1
52.3%
46.6%
P2
45.8%
47.2%
P3
50.2%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 00:53 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 01:24 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 16, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |