Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.7% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 66.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 88.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 67.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Kuraly
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Kuraly
Karlsson
Last 10: Kuraly 3-7 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Kuraly
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Kuraly
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
3
4
Kuraly
Karlsson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (901)
55.3% (897)
-6.1%
Power Play
68.2% (22)
61.1% (113)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (219)
50.8% (132)
-1.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Kuraly shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Karlsson
Home
51.7% (603)
58.6% (560)
Away
47.3% (539)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Kuraly
Karlsson
P1
50.9%
55.8%
P2
49.5%
55.6%
P3
49.1%
55.7%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.9%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 12:11 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 04:09 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:48 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | William Karlsson |