Trevor Zegras vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Zegras wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 39.2% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-12.7%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Zegras 92.9%
Defensive zone
Zegras 59.5%
Neutral zone
Zegras 91.6%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Zegras
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Zegras
Karlsson
Last 10: Zegras 3-7 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
4
Zegras
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
7
Zegras
Karlsson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
5
2
Zegras
Karlsson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (1,669)
51.8% (7,849)
-13.2%
Power Play
38.5% (148)
54.8% (1,048)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
44.2% (1,109)
-15.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Zegras is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Zegras shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Zegras
Karlsson
Home
39.9% (882)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
37.4% (942)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Zegras
Karlsson
P1
40.2%
50.3%
P2
38.0%
51.3%
P3
37.7%
52.4%
OT
31.6%
44.9%
Final 5 min
40.3%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:28 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 08:56 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 12:26 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 05:04 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |