William Karlsson vs Yanni Gourde
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Karlsson 51.3% vs Gourde 48.2% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 25-16 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 83.1%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 75.2%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 75.2%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Karlsson
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
16
(41 meetings)
25
16
Karlsson
Gourde
Last 10: Karlsson 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
14
9
Karlsson
Gourde
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
7
6
Karlsson
Gourde
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
4
1
Karlsson
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Karlsson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (7,849)
48.4% (4,954)
+3.4%
Power Play
54.8% (1,048)
57.4% (376)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,109)
39.9% (554)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Karlsson shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Karlsson
Gourde
Home
52.0% (5,090)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
50.5% (4,916)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Karlsson
Gourde
P1
50.3%
49.9%
P2
51.3%
47.4%
P3
52.4%
47.5%
OT
44.9%
37.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 02:24 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 11:30 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 2 | 05:28 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |