Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Karlsson 51.5% vs Gourde 49.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 54.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 58.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 60.6%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Karlsson
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Karlsson
Gourde
Last 6: Karlsson 2-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Karlsson
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Karlsson
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
0
Karlsson
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Karlsson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (735)
49.1% (731)
+2.3%
Power Play
63.5% (115)
54.3% (81)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (133)
48.2% (85)
-5.3%
On power play, Karlsson has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Karlsson shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Karlsson
Gourde
Home
52.3% (524)
50.9% (479)
Away
51.0% (459)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Karlsson
Gourde
P1
50.7%
51.2%
P2
51.4%
49.8%
P3
53.2%
47.5%
OT
41.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:14 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 09:22 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |