Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Karlsson wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Karlsson 54.7% vs Gourde 46.0% (+12.1%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 63.8%
Defensive zone
Gourde 55.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 61.5%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Karlsson
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Karlsson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (135)
47.2% (654)
+11.3%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
45.0% (20)
+35.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
32.2% (87)
+12.2%
On power play, Karlsson has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Karlsson shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Karlsson
Gourde
Home
63.7% (91)
44.1% (322)
Away
49.3% (67)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Karlsson
Gourde
P1
54.4%
42.4%
P2
66.7%
49.8%
P3
51.9%
44.3%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%