Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.8% vs Johnston 48.5% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 89.5%
Defensive zone
Johnston 67.5%
Neutral zone
Johnston 76.1%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 75.4%
24.6%
75.4%
Lowry
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Lowry
Johnston
Last 5: Lowry 0-5 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Lowry
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
Lowry
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
Lowry
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (660)
47.7% (614)
+8.1%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
51.6% (62)
+31.7%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
51.4% (35)
-10.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Lowry is 60.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Lowry shoots left. Johnston is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Home / Away
Lowry
Johnston
Home
54.5% (402)
47.5% (341)
Away
54.1% (351)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Lowry
Johnston
P1
52.4%
49.4%
P2
56.3%
47.2%
P3
54.7%
48.2%
OT
44.4%
46.7%
Final 5 min
58.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
54.0%▼
56.0%
54.3%
Johnston
52.0%▲
49.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |