Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Yanni Gourde
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.0% vs 47.8%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% vs Gourde 48.0% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.0%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Last 6: Nugent-Hopkins 4-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (408)
48.0% (914)
+3.0%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
54.2% (48)
-54.2%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (78)
43.9% (123)
-8.0%
On power play, Gourde has a +54.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Home
50.8% (258)
50.2% (512)
Away
44.9% (234)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
P1
51.6%
50.0%
P2
45.2%
45.3%
P3
47.6%
48.6%
OT
40.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 19:17 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:54 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |