Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Tkachuk 50.1% (+5.4%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 79.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 81.8%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 59.0%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Henrique
Tkachuk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
45.4% (183)
+9.0%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
53.2% (250)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
100.0% (2)
-53.8%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Henrique is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Henrique shoots left. Tkachuk is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Henrique
Tkachuk
Home
55.3% (237)
51.1% (233)
Away
55.8% (260)
49.0% (202)
By Period
Henrique
Tkachuk
P1
53.5%
42.9%
P2
64.8%
52.2%
P3
47.3%
53.7%
OT
58.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%