Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Tkachuk 51.0% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 88.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 78.2%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 70.1%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 88.3%
11.7%
88.3%
Henrique
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Henrique
Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
3
Henrique
Tkachuk
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
51.0% (194)
+6.5%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
51.7% (151)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
50.0% (2)
-4.5%
On power play, Henrique has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Henrique
Tkachuk
Home
56.4% (518)
50.0% (140)
Away
54.9% (492)
52.2% (207)
By Period
Henrique
Tkachuk
P1
56.0%
54.3%
P2
55.2%
50.0%
P3
56.2%
49.5%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |