Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Tkachuk 48.6% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 92.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 67.3%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 63.8%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 86.9%
13.1%
86.9%
Henrique
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Henrique
Tkachuk
Last 5: Henrique 0-5 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
4
Henrique
Tkachuk
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
1
Henrique
Tkachuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
47.5% (421)
+4.4%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
50.3% (336)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
12.5% (8)
+30.2%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Henrique is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Henrique shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Henrique
Tkachuk
Home
53.1% (339)
49.9% (389)
Away
49.1% (330)
46.8% (376)
By Period
Henrique
Tkachuk
P1
48.5%
44.4%
P2
48.6%
51.8%
P3
54.2%
47.8%
OT
70.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
51.1%
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |