Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.1%). Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Tkachuk 50.1% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 84.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 79.9%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 57.6%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Henrique
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
11
(13 meetings)
2
11
Henrique
Tkachuk
Last 10: Henrique 1-9 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
9
Henrique
Tkachuk
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Tkachuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
2
Henrique
Tkachuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
49.0% (1,560)
+1.8%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
51.4% (1,291)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
45.0% (20)
+1.2%
On power play, Henrique has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,653).
Home / Away
Henrique
Tkachuk
Home
52.5% (6,418)
50.7% (1,428)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
49.5% (1,443)
By Period
Henrique
Tkachuk
P1
50.6%
49.4%
P2
51.4%
51.3%
P3
50.2%
49.3%
OT
40.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |